Follow the money, and Kenya’s political pecking order writes itself.

The latest Political Parties Fund allocation for 2026/2027 hands UDA Sh550 million, ODM Sh294 million, and Jubilee a comparatively modest Sh129 million — numbers that look familiar on the surface but hide a rollercoaster five-year ride underneath.

Rewind to 2022/23, right after the general election: UDA opened its ruling-party account with Sh577 million, ODM trailed at Sh308 million, and Jubilee — once Kenya’s political heavyweight — was humbled to Sh135 million, a shadow of the half-billion-shilling cheques it used to cash as the party in power.

The numbers barely moved through 2023/24, suggesting a brief period of calm.

Then came the wobble. By mid-2024, disbursements had been slashed almost in half — UDA down to Sh316 million, ODM to Sh168.8 million, Jubilee scraping by on Sh74 million — as Treasury delays began rattling the system.

2025/26 brought a whiplash recovery. A June revision nudged Jubilee up to Sh112.5 million, but by September, the fund had genuinely surged: UDA crossed Sh789 million, ODM broke Sh421 million, and together the two parties pocketed a combined Sh1.2 billion — their richest year yet. Jubilee, too, enjoyed its best run since 2022, topping Sh184 million.

Which makes the current 2026/27 figures all the more striking.

UDA’s allocation has been cut by nearly a third from its peak.

ODM has shed almost Sh130 million. Jubilee has slid back down to pre-boom levels.

The rankings haven’t changed — but the money clearly has minds of its own.